Tag: Fertility Rates

South Korean Fertility Rate & Equity vs. Treasury Yields

FT – South Korea’s birth rate falls to new developed world low – Song Jung-a 8/28/19

South Korea’s birth rate, already the lowest in the developed world, has fallen to a new low on factors such as the high cost of private education despite various government initiatives to prop it up, raising concerns about the country’s bleak demographic outlook.

The country’s fertility rate — the number of expected babies per woman — fell to 0.98 in 2018, according to the latest government data released on Wednesday. It was already the lowest at 1.05 in 2017 among members of the OECD, far lower than Israel, which was the highest in the organization with 3.11 expected babies in 2017, the US at 1.77 and Japan’s 1.43.

The replacement level — the total fertility rate for developed countries needed to keep the population constant — is 2.1.

Policymakers are also concerned about the country’s falling potential growth rate due to ageing, with South Korea now having more economically active people aged over 60 than in their twenties.

Despite growing concerns about the looming labor shortages, South Korea maintains a strict immigration policy, not allowing foreign workers to migrate with their families or apply for South Korean citizenship in most cases. 

FT – US company dividends now outstrip Treasury yields – Richard Henderson and Joe Rennison 8/28/19

In case you’re looking for yields from equities…

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June 22, 2018

Perspective

WSJ – Growth in Retiring Baby Boomers Strains U.S. Entitlement Programs – Janet Adamy and Paul Overberg 6/21

Worthy Insights / Opinion Pieces / Advice

FT – The world’s progress brings new challenges – Martin Wolf 5/29

  • “Preserving peaceful relations in an era of rapid shifts in relative power is tough.”

Project Syndicate – Are We in a Corporate Debt Bubble? – Susan Lund 6/19

WSJ – Japan’s Yen: A Currency for All Seasons? – Richard Barley 6/21

WSJ – Why Home Prices Have Nowhere to Go But Up – Justin Lahart 6/20

  • “Low supply is keeping sales down despite higher rates and builders are in no rush to boost production.”

Markets / Economy

WSJ – Behemoths Have Dominated the Market Before, but Tech Is Different – James Mackintosh 6/14

Real Estate

FT – Blackstone remains global king of property funds – Chris Flood 6/2

WSJ – Daily Shot: Black Knight – US Foreclosure Starts 6/21

Finance

FT – The mystery trader who roiled Wall Street – Miles Johnson and Robert Smith 6/3

  • “Former Blackstone executive used complex credit derivatives to become a feared hedge fund manager but left behind a trail of recriminations.”

Education

NYT – The Numbers That Explain Why Teachers Are in Revolt – Robert Gebeloff 6/4

NYT – Top Colleges Are Cheaper Than You Think (Unless You’re Rich) – David Leonhardt 6/5

India

FT – Payments crunch pushes Indian power producers to brink of default – Simon Mundy and Kiran Stacey 6/20

  • “Possibility of writedowns hangs over banks still struggling from bad-loan crisis.”